In the second paper of our ‘Foresight’ series, Michael Kearsey examines the outlook for the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) in 2018, in light of the political crisis in the country, which has now entered its third year, and upcoming elections in December. Questions continue to be asked about President Joseph Kabila’s future and it seems that many of these will be answered this year. There is a growing sense of urgency in the messages we have received from sources in-country and the wider region, which indicate that changes are afoot. Although political changes have always been associated with violence in the DRC, there is reason to believe that this time may be different, and we could be looking at the dawning of democracy in the DRC.  This paper sets out a case for optimism.

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