A month ago, tensions between the head and deputy of Sudan’s transitional authority boiled over into outright conflict between the two most powerful military bodies in the country. The two men at the centre of this conflict were both part of the former regime of President Omar al-Bashir (1989-2019) and played key roles in his removal from power. They dominated the planned transition to democracy and the feud between them has the potential to shape the future of Sudan for years to come.
In our May 2023 Foresight paper, we examine the background to the conflict, the different scenarios of how it could play out and what this will mean for the country. The full paper can be found here.